Who Wants to Call the Turn?

We might. While the data may be considered slim and possibly distorted by the $6.75 billion A.P Moller-Maersk transaction, the nine-month 2010 Dealogic shipping data intimates a reversal in the downward trend in syndicated lending which began in 2007. Not only were the number of syndicated deals, volume and new money higher, club deal volume and numbers were down. The latter of course might just reflect deal size, where five of the top fifteen deals were in excess of $1 billion, but we will give the data the benefit of the doubt. In terms of specifics, the number and volume of deals for the 9-months of 2010 was 110 deals totaling $28.4 billion versus the one year earlier total of 90 deals totaling $25.9 billion. The best way to see the trend over time is to look at the data, which we show pictorially below. And, yes, you needn’t remind us that one point does not make a trend.

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